Overview
A strong storm system that brought severe storms and flooding rain to Texas and Oklahoma is on the move. The trough is moving east with more impactful weather before it heads into the Atlantic Saturday afternoon. Severe storms are possible along the cold front from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning from Kentucky into Mississippi. Wind damage is expected to be the primary hazard, so secure any loose objects outdoors.
Risks
- Wind damage expected as the primary hazard
- Isolated tornadoes possible
- Strong downdraft winds and storms that may persist after dark
Timing
Storms could form in the mid-afternoon, with the main threat from the evening into the overnight hours. Some storms may persist after dark, so multiple warning methods are advised to wake you up if needed.
“This includes storms that may persist after dark, so be sure to have multiple ways to get warnings that can wake you up!”
Rainfall
Scattered heavy downpours are expected north of the low across the Midwest through the morning, with rain shifting east and breaking up some through the afternoon. Most areas seeing thunderstorms are expected to receive 1–2 inches of rain, though rainfall could come down quickly enough to cause flooding from the Midwest to the Mid-South.
Forecast Details
High-resolution forecast models indicate supercell thunderstorms developing late in the evening in West Tennessee, then tracking east overnight into the Deep South. Overall rainfall totals are not expected to be extremely high due to the system's progressive movement.
Author Summary
The storm system will shift east, bringing damaging winds and isolated tornado threats from the Midwest to the Deep South, with moderate rainfall and possible flooding mainly from the Midwest to the Mid-South.