‘Stability’ in U.S.-China competition isn’t surrender

‘Stability’ in U.S.-China Competition Isn’t Surrender

A recent Rand Corporation report advocates for a stable and managed rivalry between the U.S. and China, emphasizing the importance of mutual recognition of each other’s political legitimacy. Known as a key architect of U.S. national security policy, Rand is cautious about framing China’s rise as a conflict to be won at all costs.

Last month, Rand released a report proposing a modus vivendi between Washington and Beijing to prevent their relationship from deteriorating into a binary, zero-sum competition. Some progressive commentators online interpret this as a notable shift in U.S. strategy toward China, possibly signaling a major realignment in the bilateral dynamic.

“Rivalry without limits risks outright military conflict, economic warfare and political subversion as well as the danger that tensions between the world’s two leading powers will destroy the potential for global consensus on such issues as climate and artificial intelligence.”

Despite these risks, the report’s distinguished political scientists, experts in great power relations, do not suggest that a fundamental overhaul of the relationship is currently feasible. Instead, they call for careful management to avoid escalating tensions.

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Summary

The Rand report urges a balanced management of U.S.-China rivalry to prevent conflict and preserve global cooperation, without endorsing a radical shift in the relationship.

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The Japan Times The Japan Times — 2025-11-07

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